The Federal Government has sounded the alarm over anticipated heavy rainfall and potential flooding across 30 states and the Federal Capital Territory (FCT) ahead of the 2025 rainy season. The warning follows the release of the 2025 Annual Flood Outlook (AFO) by the Nigeria Hydrological Services Agency (NIHSA) in Abuja.
At the launch event, Minister of Water Resources and Sanitation, Joseph Utsev, revealed that this year’s forecast shows serious flood threats to coastal and riverine communities, particularly in Nigeria’s South-South geopolitical zone.
States on High Alert
According to the forecast, the most vulnerable states include Bayelsa, Rivers, Delta, Cross River, Akwa Ibom, and Edo, where coastal flooding is likely due to rising sea levels. Other high-risk states include Abia, Adamawa, Anambra, Bauchi, Benue, Borno, Ebonyi, Gombe, Imo, Jigawa, Kebbi, Kogi, Kwara, Lagos, Nasarawa, Niger, Ogun, Ondo, Osun, Oyo, Sokoto, Taraba, Yobe, Zamfara, and the FCT.
In total, 1,249 communities across 176 Local Government Areas (LGAs) are at high risk, while another 2,187 communities in 293 LGAs fall under the moderate-risk category.
For the first time, NIHSA has adopted a community-based flood forecasting model aimed at delivering more localized and actionable warnings. This shift focuses on early alerts at the grassroots level, enabling residents and local governments to respond swiftly.
“Flooding remains one of the most devastating natural disasters we face,” said Minister Utsev. “With climate change, we’re seeing more intense and frequent rainfall, making early preparation even more critical.”
The Director General of NIHSA, Umar Mohammed, stated that the 2025 flood outlook also evaluates potential impacts on health, education, agriculture, and critical infrastructure. “This year’s forecast is more comprehensive. We are not just identifying high-risk LGAs; we are assessing how floods could disrupt key sectors,” he said.
Call for Action, Not Panic
Permanent Secretary of the Ministry, Richard Pheelangwah, emphasized that the flood forecast should be treated as a call to action, not just a statistical warning. “This isn’t just about numbers. It’s about saving lives and protecting livelihoods,” he noted.
He urged local governments to begin clearing drainage systems, enforcing zoning regulations, and organizing public awareness campaigns. Individuals, especially those in flood-prone areas like Isheri and Akute in Ogun State, are advised to consider relocating before the rains begin.
How to Prepare for Flooding
Authorities recommend the following proactive steps for residents in vulnerable areas:
Monitor local weather reports and updates from NIHSA
Relocate from high-risk flood zones
Clear and maintain drainage systems in communities
Elevate electronics and valuables above likely flood levels
Prepare emergency kits with essential supplies
Store important documents in waterproof containers
Identify nearest evacuation routes and shelters
Community preparedness is also key. Local leaders are encouraged to collaborate with government agencies to develop early warning systems and response strategies tailored to their areas.
Climate Change Driving Extreme Weather
Experts continue to link Nigeria’s increasing flood incidents to the effects of climate change, including rising sea levels and unpredictable rainfall patterns. The country has experienced a series of devastating floods in recent years, causing significant displacement, destruction of property, and loss of lives.
In light of this, the Federal Government says it is stepping up flood management efforts through enhanced forecasting, inter-agency coordination, and public education campaigns.
Staying Ahead of the Storm
As the 2025 rainy season nears, officials stress that preparation is the best defense. By taking early action and remaining alert to weather updates, communities can significantly reduce the risks posed by floods.
To find out whether your area is affected and to access additional safety tips and resources, visit the official NIHSA website
